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The
partisan vitriol is likely to increase during the coming
years. In many respects, the United States is moving
toward an election system that has much in common with
a parliamentary one. Never before has the opposition
party settled on its presidential candidate so early.
(Democrats chose Kerry in March.) Gone are the days
when the presidential campaign began with Labor Day
rallies in Detroit's Cadillac Square, and the public
began to focus on the candidates following the World
Series. This year, 78 percent of voters told exit pollsters
that they had made up their minds about the Bush-Kerry
race months before they went to the polls.
Moreover, the partisan divide
extended to all levels of government. According to a
postelection Zogby poll conducted November 3-5, partisanship
ruled in races for Congress and the state houses. In
the Senate races, 90 percent of Democratic voters supported
their party's nominees; only 9 percent backed the Republican
candidate. Republicans were just as united: 86 percent
backed the GOP Senate candidate; only 12 percent voted
Democratic. In the House races, the picture was much
the same: 91 percent of Democrats supported their party's
congressional candidates; only 9 percent voted Republican.
Republicans presented a mirror image: 84 percent supported
the GOP House candidate; 14 percent defected to the
Democrats. In the governors' races, 90 percent of Democrats
voted for their party's nominees; only 7 percent sided
with the Republican candidate. Republicans were just
as united: 84 percent voted for their party's gubernatorial
candidates; just 13 percent backed the Democratic nominee.
Can the divisions be healed?
History provides a guide. We began by describing the
roiling partisanship that characterized the presidential
elections of 1796 and 1800. When Jefferson finally triumphed,
he did not gloat. In his inaugural address, he famously
intoned, "We are all republicans; we are all federalists."
Four years later, all signs of partisanship had disappeared.
Jefferson enlightened the country with a grand vision
of exploration (the Lewis and Clark expedition was the
modern-day equivalent of traveling to Mars) and destiny
(Jefferson's unilateral decision to purchase the Louisiana
Territory from the French). The result was the collapse
of the Federalist Party. In 1804, the Federalists nominated
a token candidate for the presidency who received fourteen
electoral votes. By 1820, the party disappeared altogether.
Assessing Jefferson's first term, John Randolph wrote:
"Never was there an administration more brilliant
than that of Mr. Jefferson up to this period. Taxes
repealed; the public debt amply provided for
sinecures
abolished; Louisiana acquired; public confidence unbounded."
The so-called Era of Good Feelings began, lasting through
James Monroe's election in 1820.
Like the public following the
raucous elections of 1796 and 1800, Americans say they
want a change of spirit. At the end of a long campaign,
both George W. Bush and John Kerry recognized this.
Speaking to his supporters the day after the election,
Bush declared: "We have one country, one Constitution,
and one future that binds us." In his concession
speech, Kerry agreed, saying, "America is in need
of unity and longing for a larger measure of compassion."
In making their pleas, Bush and Kerry echoed Jefferson's
long-ago call for national unity.
But
can Bush succeed? His 2004 victory was unthinkable to
most Democratic partisans. Likewise, the prospect of
a Kerry presidency was anathema to Bush supporters.
No wonder it was said that the 2004 election was "the
most important of our lifetimes." Most Americans
agreed: 67 percent told ABC News and the Washington
Post in September that the outcome of the Bush-Kerry
race was "one of the single most important elections"
of their lifetimes; only 15 percent belittled the election
as unimportant.
During his first term, George
W. Bush squandered two chances to bring the country
together. The first was of his own making. Introducing
himself to the American electorate in 2000, Bush frequently
described himself as a "compassionate conservative."
The very phrase suggested that he wanted a more compassionate,
tolerant, and even activist government. In his 2001
inaugural address, Bush pledged the nation (and his
administration) to a great goal: "When we see that
wounded traveler on the road to Jericho, we will not
pass to the other side." Yet in that very same
speech, Bush acknowledged the partisan divide: "Sometimes
our differences run so deep, it seems we share a continent,
but not a country."
Compassionate conservatism could
have been more than a literary device. It could have
been a legacy to a twenty-first century Republican Party
governing at a time of enormous demographic and social
change. True, President Bush established the White House
Office of Faith-Based Initiatives. But Republicans never
took compassionate conservatism seriously. No one at
the Republican-oriented think tanks saw much merit in
devoting attention to the notion of compassionate conservatism
as a governing philosophy. Republican members of Congress
have never organized themselves into a caucus of "compassionate
conservatives." Indeed, the party faithful have
made their position clear, saying, in effect, "We
will cede the poetry of politics to moderate-minded
spokespersons. But we will never cede the prose."
Thus, Republican conventions have featured the moderate
poetic voices of Arizona senator John McCain, former
New York City mayor Rudolph Guiliani, New York State
governor George Pataki, and California governor Arnold
Schwartzenegger. But the prose contained within the
GOP platform remains decidedly less compassionate and
more conservative.
The other opportunity Bush had
to stitch the country together came after the September
11, 2001, terrorist attacks. The most picturesque bipartisan
moment came when Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle
hugged Bush following his congressional speech. Democrats,
including former vice president Al Gore, implored their
followers to support Bush. But that changed in 2002,
when Bush decided to cast any Democratic resistance
to his war plansincluding his desire to make war
against Iraqas unpatriotic. The most egregious
example of Bush's political overreach occurred when
Republicans ran television advertisements against Georgia
U.S. Senator Max Cleland, comparing him to Osama bin
Laden and Saddam Hussein, all because Cleland wanted
labor protections written into the new Homeland Security
Department. Cleland, a Vietnam War veteran and triple
amputee, lost. Mary Landrieu, a Louisiana Democrat,
says, "For Democrats who were trying to work with
the president on national security issues and support
a more hawkish stand than might seem natural for a Democrat,
this president discounts it, ignores it
. Unfortunately,
the president has earned this polarization. It hasn't
just happened. He pushed it to happen."
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